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Volume 626 Issue 7999, 15 February 2024
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Volume 626 Issue 7999, 15 February 2024

Climate stress

The cover captures a misty morning in the Amazon rainforest at Alta Floresta in Mato Grosso, Brazil. The rainforest is home to 10% of Earth’s biodiversity and is a key carbon store, helping to stabilize the planet’s climate. In this week’s issue, Bernardo Flores and colleagues reveal that climate and land-use stresses could push the rainforest past a tipping point as early as 2050. The researchers probed five causes of water stress — global warming, annual rainfall, seasonal intensity of rainfall, length of the dry season and deforestation — using palaeorecords, climate models and observational data. Their analysis reveals that 10–47% of the Amazonian forest will be exposed to water stresses that could cause the ecosystem to transition, potentially driving it past a tipping point after 2050, beyond which ecosystem collapse could occur.

Cover image: André Dib

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Research

  • News & Views

    • Magnetic materials with zero net magnetization fall into two classes: conventional antiferromagnets and altermagnets. Physicists have identified a property in altermagnets that widens the divide between the two groups.

      • Carmine Autieri
      News & Views
    • In a multicellular organism, normal growth requires control of cell division to generate cells that are similar to or different from their parents. Analysis of this process in plant roots reveals how this mechanism is regulated.

      • Ikram Blilou
      News & Views
    • A neural probe has been used to capture the activity of large populations of single neurons as people are speaking or listening, providing detailed insights into how the brain encodes specific features of speech.

      • Yves Boubenec
      News & Views
    • Genetic sequencing data from more than 4,000 Chinese participants in the Born in Guangzhou Cohort Study provide insights into the population, and a snapshot of what is to come in future phases of the project.

      • Nicholas John Timpson
      News & Views
    • By combining materials-synthesis techniques, researchers have come up with a way of building layered structures that display intriguing wave-like patterns of electric polarization, and could be useful for next-generation electronics.

      • Berit H. Goodge
      News & Views
  • Perspective

    • To reduce voltage drops—the depreciation of the cost–benefit profile when scaling up solutions to social problems—sufficient policy-based evidence must be generated before policymakers scale up the project.

      • John A. List
      Perspective
  • Analysis

    • Analyses of drivers of water stress are used to predict likely trajectories of the Amazon forest system and suggests potential actions that could prevent system collapse.

      • Bernardo M. Flores
      • Encarni Montoya
      • Marina Hirota
      Analysis Open Access
  • Articles

    • X-ray observations of two large glitches bracketing a fast radio burst in the active Galactic magnetar SGR 1935+2154 reveal a connection between rapid spin change and radiative behaviours of the magnetar.

      • Chin-Ping Hu
      • Takuto Narita
      • Keith C. Gendreau
      Article
    • A room-temperature demonstration of optomechanical squeezing of light and measurement of mechanical motion approaching the Heisenberg limit using a phononic-engineered membrane-in-the-middle cavity with ultralow noise.

      • Guanhao Huang
      • Alberto Beccari
      • Tobias J. Kippenberg
      Article Open Access
    • Using photoemission spectroscopy and ab initio calculations, evidence is given of two distinct unconventional mechanisms of lifted Kramers spin degeneracy generated by the altermagnetic phase of centrosymmetric MnTe with vanishing net magnetization.

      • J. Krempaský
      • L. Šmejkal
      • T. Jungwirth
      Article Open Access
    • Examining the in-plane spin components of the noncoplanar antiferromagnet manganese ditelluride provides spectroscopic and computational evidence of materials with a new type of plaid-like spin splitting in the antiferromagnetic ground state.

      • Yu-Peng Zhu
      • Xiaobing Chen
      • Chang Liu
      Article
    • The stacking of freestanding ferroelectric perovskite layers with controlled twist angles results in a peculiar pattern of polarization vortices and antivortices that emerges from the flexoelectric coupling of polarization to strain gradients.

      • G. Sánchez-Santolino
      • V. Rouco
      • J. Santamaria
      Article Open Access
    • Phospholipids enhance the structural and colloidal integrity of hybrid organic–inorganic lead halide perovskites and lead-free metal halide nanocrystals, which then exhibit enhanced robustness and optical properties.

      • Viktoriia Morad
      • Andriy Stelmakh
      • Maksym V. Kovalenko
      Article Open Access
    • A global profile of tropical cyclone population exposure for the period 2002–2019 shows a steady increase, with approximately 560 million people exposed yearly and a disproportionate exposure among those with lower socioeconomic status.

      • Renzhi Jing
      • Sam Heft-Neal
      • Zachary Wagner
      Article
    • The authors identify a molecular switch that regulates the balance between neurotoxic and neuroprotective astrocyte populations, with potential application in the treatment of glaucoma and other optic neuropathies.

      • Evan G. Cameron
      • Michael Nahmou
      • Jeffrey L. Goldberg
      Article
    • Initial dopamine self-stimulations reinforced not only the stimulation-producing target action, but also actions similar to the target action and actions that occurred a few seconds before stimulation, and repeated pairings led to a gradual refinement of the behavioural repertoire to home in on the target actions.

      • Jonathan C. Y. Tang
      • Vitor Paixao
      • Rui M. Costa
      Article Open Access
    • Neuropixels recordings from the language-dominant prefrontal cortex reveal a structured organization of planned words, an encoding cascade of phonetic representations by prefrontal neurons in humans and a cellular process that could support the production of speech.

      • Arjun R. Khanna
      • William Muñoz
      • Ziv M. Williams
      Article Open Access
    • Quantitative time-resolved microscopy analysis of SHR and SCR dynamics in single cells of living Arabidopsis roots shows that these transcription factors coordinate formative and proliferative cell divisions early in the cell cycle.

      • Cara M. Winter
      • Pablo Szekely
      • Philip N. Benfey
      Article Open Access
    • Analysis of the effects of more than 26,000 KRAS mutations on abundance and interactions with six other proteins is used to construct an energy landscape of KRAS and identify allosteric drug target sites.

      • Chenchun Weng
      • Andre J. Faure
      • Ben Lehner
      Article Open Access
    • We study the interplay between cohesin and replication by reconstituting a functional replisome using purified proteins, showing how cohesin initially responds to replication and providing a molecular model for the establishment of sister chromatid cohesion.

      • Yasuto Murayama
      • Shizuko Endo
      • Hiroyuki Araki
      Article
    • Serial femtosecond crystallography reveals the structural dynamics of photosystem II during the S-state transitions that produce dioxygen, providing insight into electron transfer, water insertion, proton release and O–O bond formation on sub-microsecond timescales.

      • Hongjie Li
      • Yoshiki Nakajima
      • Jian-Ren Shen
      Article Open Access
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