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Volume 653 Issue 8116, 28 May 2026
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Volume 653 Issue 8116, 28 May 2026

Storm warning

Understanding how hailstorm damage is evolving with climate change is increasingly important: the past two years, for example, have seen multiple hailstorms sufficiently severe to cause billions of dollars’ worth of damage. In this week’s issue, Qinghong Zhang and colleagues probe this phenomenon on a global scale. Using simulations cross-validated through multimodel comparisons, the researchers were able to build a picture of how human-induced climate change is likely to affect hailstorms. They found that increases in temperature and humidity at lower levels (up 1 kilometre above Earth’s surface) encourage the formation of larger hailstones (those with diameters greater than 30 millimetres), with this increased frequency more than offsetting the decreased frequency of small hailstones. As a result, the team estimates that the global damage potential of hailstorms will increase by some 40% by the late twenty-first century.

Cover image: John T. Allen.

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