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Volume 645 Issue 8080, 11 September 2025
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Volume 645 Issue 8080, 11 September 2025

Major issue

Although it has been established that human-induced warming increases the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, there has not been a comprehensive analysis of historical events. In this week’s issue, Yann Quilcaille and colleagues examine heatwaves during the period 2000 to 2023 to assess the effects of climate change and the contributions from major carbon emitters. They find that, because of climate change, heatwaves became 20 times more likely for the years 2000 to 2009, and 200 times more likely for the period 2010 to 2019. They also show that emissions from 180 ‘carbon majors’ — businesses with a particularly high emissions profile, such as fossil-fuel and cement producers — contributed to half the increase in heatwave intensity since the period 1850–1900. Their individual contributions were so high that each was sufficient to enable the occurrence of 16 to 53 heatwaves that would otherwise have been virtually impossible in a preindustrial climate.

Cover image: Jasiek Krzysztofiak/Nature.

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